Portland Fire won. Smart money backed Golden State Valkyries (10 ranked wallets, average entry 77¢) and lost. Volume $335k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 36% · IA 11% · IA, KS 6% | $9.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $3.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 24% | $3.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $2.0M |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | Bears 50% · Seahawks 50% | $1.7M |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | Cavaliers 21% · Thunder 80% | $1.7M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.4M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x0c15… | Portland Fire | $12k |
| analdesutructor | Portland Fire | $10k |
| 0x6262… | Portland Fire | $1k |
| fleshdaddy | Portland Fire | $1k |
| YOLOBettor | Portland Fire | $887.24 |
| RocketWorld | Portland Fire | $833.10 |
| Shawnyou | Portland Fire | $711.11 |
| mystery88 | Portland Fire | $688.10 |
| 0xc62e… | Portland Fire | $670.73 |
| maxiforza | Portland Fire | $650.55 |
| 79twinprime | Portland Fire | $479.26 |
| ddp0618 | Portland Fire | $473.62 |
299 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $36k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $34k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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