0xc156168d6bb5c6adc709e5d9bf636e0876bc45be
nicolas-mvd has lost $55 on Polymarket across 238 markets, winning 45% of the ones that resolved. Sports is the strength: $26 over 42 positions, mostly Tennis markets. Right now it holds 28 open positions worth $134, the largest on “Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” (Yes). It spreads small stakes widely, about $16 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 35 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 26 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 24 |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | Yes | 36 |
| Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 6 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 6 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 5 |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? | Yes | 8 |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | No | 5 |
| Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic | Miomir Kecmanovic | 11 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| joseph00677 | $5.4M | $7.0M |
| monkeymashingkeyboard | $1.5M | $4.2M |
| 1l2ihj34li12u34 | $423k | $3.3M |
| Kch-Temp | $2.5M | $2.8M |
| theowalcott | $1.1M | $2.5M |
| raybanman | $869k | $2.5M |
| chubbytoro | −$529k | $2.3M |
| juice-fruit | $458k | $1.6M |
| primm | $3.5M | $1.5M |
| Multicoloured-Serf | −$193k | $1.5M |
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