0xe9582ac5e2d22a771ed84adc12c8df30a8b166b7
RogerFed has lost $11k on Polymarket across 364 markets, winning 72% of the ones that resolved. Economics is the strength: $102 over 1 positions, mostly Macro markets. Right now it holds 26 open positions worth $16k, the largest on “Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the…” (Yes). Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31? | Yes | 9k |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | No | 3k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 1k |
| Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? | No | 674 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 750 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | Yes | 500 |
| Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? | No | 480 |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026? | No | 298 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 425 |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? | No | 300 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | Yes | 300 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen | $2.0M | $1.6M |
| timetowander | $1.1M | $1.3M |
| CoffeeDespiser | $1.1M | $992k |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| 0xa3a4… | $1.6M | $889k |
| LlamaLoco0000 | $790k | $865k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $827k |
| duderr | $1.7M | $809k |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | $1.6M | $711k |
The same wallet's all-time P&L card, live from Polynyx, and every ranked Politics wallet by name — free to browse, bots filtered.
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.