Who is favored to win California Governor Election Winner on Polymarket?

Xavier Becerra, at 98%, ahead of Steve Hilton at 1%; $43.9M has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.

What are the odds for each outcome of California Governor Election Winner?

Xavier Becerra 98%, Steve Hilton 1%, Rick Caruso 0%, Alex Padilla 0%, Katie Porter 0%, and 18 more. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.

Where does this data come from?

Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Xavier Becerra, the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · 23 outcomes · live

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner on Polymarket: Xavier Becerra leads at 98%, ahead of Steve Hilton at 1% and Rick Caruso at 0%. 23 outcomes are listed, $43.9M has traded on the event, $8.2M sits in the books; it closes Nov 4, 2026. The week's biggest move is Steve Hilton, −1.7 pts. 3 ranked wallets back Xavier Becerra at an average entry of 93¢. Every smart wallet on Xavier Becerra on Polynyx ↗

Xavier Becerra
98%
Steve Hilton
1%
Ranked wallets
back Xavier Becerra
Mover · 7d
Steve Hilton −1.7 pts

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on Xavier Becerra by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

outcomes

$43.9M

volume

$8.2M

liquidity

Nov 4

closes

California Governor Election Winner · odds race

Odds history

Every outcome by odds

23 outcomes

1Xavier Becerra98.4%
2Steve Hilton1.4%
3Rick Caruso0.1%
4Alex Padilla0.1%
5Katie Porter0.1%
6Antonio Villaraigosa0.1%
7Stephen Cloobeck0.1%
8Butch Ware0.1%
9Betty Yee0.1%
10Toni Atkins0.1%
11Kyle Langford0.1%
12Chad Bianco0.1%
13Eleni Kounalakis0.1%
14Daniel Mercuri0.1%

Every outcome

Odds for all 23 outcomes.

Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.

Outcome	Odds	7d	Volume	Status
1Xavier Becerra	98%	+1.6 pts	$3.0M	live
2Steve Hilton	1%	−1.7 pts	$4.4M	live
3Rick Caruso	0%	—	$1.8M	live
4Alex Padilla	0%	—	$2.0M	live
5Katie Porter	0%	—	$1.8M	live
6Antonio Villaraigosa	0%	—	$1.6M	live
7Stephen Cloobeck	0%	—	$1.6M	live
8Butch Ware	0%	—	$1.3M	live
9Betty Yee	0%	—	$1.8M	live
10Toni Atkins	0%	—	$1.6M	live
11Kyle Langford	0%	—	$1.8M	live
12Chad Bianco	0%	—	$2.0M	live
13Eleni Kounalakis	0%	—	$1.4M	live
14Daniel Mercuri	0%	—	$1.4M	live
15Tony Thurmond	0%	—	$1.4M	live
16Michael Younger	0%	—	$1.5M	live
17Leo Zacky	0%	—	$1.1M	live
18Nicole Shanahan	0%	—	$1.8M	live
19Eric Swalwell	0%	—	$1.5M	live
20Tom Steyer	0%	—	$4.9M	live
21Kamala Harris	0%	—	$1.6M	live
22Matt Mahan	0%	—	$1.4M	live
23Elaine Culotti	0%	—	$1.3M	live

More Politics events

FAQ

Who is favored to win California Governor Election Winner on Polymarket?: Xavier Becerra, at 98%, ahead of Steve Hilton at 1%; $43.9M has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.
What are the odds for each outcome of California Governor Election Winner?: Xavier Becerra 98%, Steve Hilton 1%, Rick Caruso 0%, Alex Padilla 0%, Katie Porter 0%, and 18 more. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.
Where does this data come from?: Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Xavier Becerra, the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.