No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (13 ranked wallets, average entry 100¢). Volume $1.8M, liquidity $379k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of California Governor Election Winner →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 7% | $5.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.3M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $2.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 77% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.3M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% · Christine Lagarde 8% | $687k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 36% | $519k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| caviaro | Yes | 188k |
| pregamee | Yes | 75k |
| gopay | Yes | 30k |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 25k |
| puipui2486 | Yes | 24k |
| debased | Yes | 23k |
| dromedaryy | Yes | 16k |
| e46m3 | Yes | 14k |
| donthackme | Yes | 13k |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 13k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 561k |
| tu78re | No | 60 |
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