Up won. Smart money backed Down (4 ranked wallets, average entry 78¢) and lost. Volume $69k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Abdul El-Sayed 1% · Elissa Slotkin 0% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 22% · 50+ bps decrease 1% | $1.3M |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 1% · No 100% | $1.1M |
| Spurs vs. Kings | Spurs 91% · Kings 10% | $907k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $545k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $543k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Jon Ossoff 18% · Nikki Haley 0% | $524k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 69% · Puma Shen 32% | $486k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| lkojihfafaf | Up | $561.79 |
| yguaihdkjls | Up | $521.69 |
| 0x568b… | Up | $442.84 |
| winerluna | Up | $380.41 |
| 0x03be… | Up | $296.43 |
| zishuo | Down | $258.97 |
| Samimouch | Up | $220.06 |
| p0lz | Down | $180.25 |
| std0 | Up | $165.77 |
| yurlppy | Up | $157.74 |
| DistantHolyLight | Up | $152.41 |
| 0x0363… | Up | $131.80 |
769 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $6.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $5.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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