Yes 60% · No 41%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 38¢). Volume $81k, liquidity $47k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $774k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $243k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $232k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $232k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $214k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 13% · No 87% | $210k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $193k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $191k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| classified | Yes | 23k |
| BigMackyG | Yes | 4k |
| Dragontree | Yes | 2k |
| peter239784 | Yes | 1k |
| Tenebrus7 | Yes | 1k |
| laureman | Yes | 816 |
| QuantDuck | Yes | 700 |
| ShewasonlyonTRT | Yes | 650 |
| 0x0a8a…d6ae | Yes | 608 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 446 |
| LlamaLoco0000 | No | 27k |
| 0x2c26…a23c | No | 2k |
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