No 81% · Yes 20%. Smart money leans No (9 ranked wallets, average entry 83¢). Volume $47k, liquidity $37k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $1.1M |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $538k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 98% · No 3% | $506k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $360k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $282k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 46% · No 54% | $191k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 78% · No 23% | $189k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $156k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shaygai19121983 | Yes | 8k |
| paddaa | Yes | 4k |
| AXIOSinsider | Yes | 1k |
| 0xaf5b…fb1d | Yes | 1k |
| snipgoblin | Yes | 656 |
| 0x9ddd…5ca4 | Yes | 605 |
| Geckowolf | Yes | 601 |
| David28 | Yes | 527 |
| Oshri2080 | Yes | 509 |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 402 |
| anoin123 | No | 4k |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 3k |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.