Mavericks won. Smart money backed Warriors (12 ranked wallets, average entry 63¢) and lost. Volume $2.5M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $13.2M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $9.2M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 24% | $2.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.7M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $897k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 63% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 38% | $688k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mikesports | Mavericks | $86k |
| wagwag | Mavericks | $34k |
| fwed33 | Mavericks | $13k |
| RollsRoycsUmbrella | Mavericks | $12k |
| iosjhdfasdjriuxcpxoewnnvi | Mavericks | $11k |
| 1997 | Mavericks | $9k |
| Brunoruno | Mavericks | $7k |
| ImSmart | Mavericks | $7k |
| cumulus33 | Mavericks | $7k |
| Funky88 | Mavericks | $5k |
| leagueo | Mavericks | $4k |
| duongnplibn | Mavericks | $4k |
2,005 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $264k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $245k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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