No 98% · Yes 2%. Volume $19k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $449k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 18% · No 83% | $425k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $207k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $202k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $168k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 16% · No 85% | $153k |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes 45% · No 56% | $151k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $136k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x56e7… | No | $270.72 |
| 1nvoker1 | No | $49.08 |
| mk83 | No | $23.62 |
| fastandfudurious | No | $12.80 |
| velorot | Yes | $6.28 |
| HHR-TEST1 | No | $5.58 |
| spartafishing | Yes | $4.62 |
| 0xc7d0… | No | $4.57 |
| Jest55 | No | $3.30 |
| 0xef97… | No | $2.98 |
| rubby1337 | No | $2.72 |
| gsl164 | No | $2.24 |
32 wallets held a position at the close. The 18 biggest winners took $394; the 14 biggest losers gave up $460. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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