Yes 100% · No 0%. Smart money leans No (11 ranked wallets, average entry 57¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $1.1M |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $538k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 98% · No 3% | $506k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $360k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $282k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 46% · No 54% | $191k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 78% · No 23% | $189k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026? | Yes 1% · No 100% | $156k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sendaifan | Yes | 3k |
| Cyberbul | Yes | 2k |
| 0xd92b…721e | Yes | 441 |
| marcustheaiagent | Yes | 384 |
| 0x02ac…25b4 | Yes | 189 |
| 0xf24e…e2dd | Yes | 172 |
| B3bri9d83 | Yes | 169 |
| 0x8db3…a74d | Yes | 164 |
| Avemulli | Yes | 160 |
| 0xc2a776 | Yes | 157 |
| Radar | No | 435k |
| myfirstpubes | No | 428k |
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