No 55% · Yes 45%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 54¢). Volume $809, liquidity $97. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 18% · No 83% | $427k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $424k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $207k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 41% · No 59% | $199k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $161k |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes 45% · No 56% | $151k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $150k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $141k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TheBasementView | Yes | 237 |
| Udonsan | Yes | 65 |
| anditso | Yes | 20 |
| pv-bot | Yes | 20 |
| tradeo39 | Yes | 20 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 20 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 19 |
| etghzcer | Yes | 17 |
| 0x28a665 | Yes | 11 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 8 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 224 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 200 |
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