No 98% · Yes 2%. Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 80¢). Volume $5.8k, liquidity $16k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $931k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $524k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $490k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $334k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $282k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 46% · No 55% | $191k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 77% · No 24% | $187k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $156k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| planktonXD | Yes | 343 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 258 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 238 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 204 |
| 0x0dac…c193 | Yes | 200 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 151 |
| v4n17y | Yes | 149 |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 134 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 95 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 73 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 2k |
| M2sx92kljs42 | No | 439 |
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