No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 100¢). Volume $5.7M, liquidity $224k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $845k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $501k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $488k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $315k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $281k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 46% · No 55% | $193k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 77% · No 24% | $187k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $158k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JustCrazy | Yes | 138k |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 27k |
| thecaricature | Yes | 21k |
| qwen300.fund | Yes | 15k |
| 0x31da9d | Yes | 10k |
| CoffeeLover | Yes | 10k |
| 0xe5f789 | Yes | 10k |
| NyetRisk | Yes | 8k |
| mildwindow27 | Yes | 6k |
| cigarettes | Yes | 6k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 391k |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 356 |
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