Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 42¢) and lost. Volume $40k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 61% · Anthropic 31% · OpenAI 5% | $32k |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? | November 12 17% · November 6 16% · No release by November 30 15% | $31k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 73% · Anthropic 24% · OpenAI 4% | $28k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026? | Yes 17% · No 83% | $19k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 41% · November 11 26% · November 9 1% | $16k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $12k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 9–November 15 52% · November 2–November 8 18% | $12k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| StoneMarble | Yes | $1k |
| McGavin101 | Yes | $179.28 |
| horse-trader | Yes | $142.44 |
| Mikelious | Yes | $128.53 |
| android84 | Yes | $51 |
| ResolvedMarkets | Yes | $31.26 |
| SuperTests | Yes | $29.48 |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yes | $29.32 |
| fullsendnow | Yes | $22.77 |
| DontBeScared5 | Yes | $16.70 |
| 0x535c…a3b9 | Yes | $9.50 |
| 0x8c07… | Yes | $8.16 |
54 wallets held a position at the close. The 23 biggest winners took $2.0k; the 31 biggest losers gave up $2.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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