No 90% · Yes 11%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 47¢). Volume $10k, liquidity $632. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $449k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 18% · No 83% | $425k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $207k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $202k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $168k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 16% · No 85% | $153k |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes 45% · No 56% | $151k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $136k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x066f…2e56 | Yes | 374 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 130 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 112 |
| leCommissaire | Yes | 100 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | Yes | 98 |
| asterley | Yes | 58 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 22 |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 21 |
| LonelyScissors | Yes | 21 |
| 98132wxc | Yes | 20 |
| V4grant | No | 327 |
| cooldisplayname | No | 321 |
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