No 98% · Yes 2%. Smart money leans Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢). Volume $93k, liquidity $17k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 100% · Republican Party 1% | $15.1M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 99% · Republican Party 1% | $10.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 99% · R Senate, D House 0% · Republicans Sweep 0% | $9.1M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 98% · Ken Paxton (R) 2% | $6.4M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Gina Hinojosa (D) 93% · Greg Abbott (R) 8% | $3.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 93% · Mike Rogers (R) 7% | $2.9M |
| South Carolina Senate Election Winner | Annie Andrews (D) 98% · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 2% | $1.4M |
| Maine Senate Election Winner | Troy Jackson (D) 91% · Susan Collins (R) 7% | $978k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| parav0z | Yes | 5k |
| notgoodluck | Yes | 5k |
| Addarash | Yes | 3k |
| BigRabbit | Yes | 2k |
| 0x720a…40f1 | Yes | 2k |
| Lets-play | Yes | 2k |
| DonVincero | Yes | 2k |
| dsoperative | Yes | 2k |
| fendya | Yes | 2k |
| smellyEllie | Yes | 1k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 29k |
| Rhabarberbarbarbar | No | 12k |
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